Spring 2011
In the opening chapter of his book Future Babble, Dan Gardner chronicles the events of the last century that went unforetold and the numerous predictions about the future that failed to materialize. He goes on to explain why wanting to know the future is part of the human condition and how we get it wrong, over and over again. Anyone paying attention since the start of this century knows that there have been some spectacularly wrong predictions in the last decade or so, beginning with the Y2K non-event. At the same time, much of what has shaped life in the 21st century, such as 9/11, wasn’t even on the radar screen. People seeking that extra edge for exploiting developments when investing will find this revelation disappointing. But for others, the certainty of uncertainty serves to reinforce the wisdom of following a disciplined investment plan.

